Please note that the information below does not constitute sports-betting recommendations, only a study of historic analytical edges as applied to today’s games intended to give you a head-start on research of your own.
All MLB bets are ranked in order of sports-betting profitability based on the pitching dataset explained in the video at the bottom of this analytics post as well as the over/under dataset shown in the video at the top of this post. All baseball-analysis terms are explained in this post.

MLB Analytics Betting Edges – June 6/2019

1. Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers

The same dataset that’s been in play for the past 2 days is up to bat once again, with this matchup falling into a set that’s converted 64% of the time for 23% ROI, including wins in back-to-back games between these two teams.

EDGE: 1H Over

2. Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs

If there’s one thing I love doing in MLB betting it’s betting against rookie pitchers. And if I can catch not their first season, but first game, I’ll almost always be willing to go for a ride! Doing anything well your first time out is tough, and when you add in the life-long pressure of such a defining moment, and I think the edge rightfully has to go with the opposition, which is spearheaded by servicable cubs pitcher Jose Quintana who is pitching right at expectation with a respectable  3.78 ERA and 3.80 xFIP.

EDGE: CHC 1H

3. Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers
Looking at a dataset dealing with a low-scoring team (Baltimore) vs a high-scoring team (Texas) when both squads are ‘tired’ (8+ games in 10 days) that’s covered 59% of the time for 13% ROI including 7-1 when the Rangers are the home team and 2-0 when Jurado is pitching. In the last game between these two teams, the Rangers won in extra innings by a score of 2-1.

EDGE: Under 11

4, Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
Looking at a dataset segmenting pitchers who perform well vs tired teams we have Nationals starter Patrick Corbin who has gone 7-3-5 in this situation over the past 2 seasons. Add that to the fact the SD scores the 4th fewest home-game runs in the MLB, and we have just enough edge to take a shot.

EDGE: Wash 1H

WNBA Analytics Betting Edges

5. Las Vegas Aces @ Atlanta Dream
The Dream are one of the weakest teams in the league and have gone 15-4 55% ROI in favor of the under as the home team over the past 2 seasons, including 2-0 so far this year.

EDGE: Under

IMPORTANT NOTE, PLEASE READ:

Data is expensive and I need a lot of it for a project I’m building that will bring us a lot of betting-value and help us continue increasing our edge.

If you’ve found my content helpful over the past year and would like to help me continue helping you, I’d be incredibly appreciative of your support.

Paypal: Donate Here

BTC: 3CtjcSx3jWekq2Mq3WP4HxGmfa3JjZ1Cnz

That’s it for today, bet safe out there and make sure to DM me on Instagram for an invite to join our free sports-betting community on Discord, where 250 members are talking picks and strategies around the clock.

Comments

comments